BeatTheCasino Podcast | Baccarat & Blackjack Strategy
Hosted by Keith Smith, the podcast features strategy discussions, player interviews, live session highlights, historical training, and practical analysis from experienced members of the BeatTheCasino community.
Topics include:
- Baccarat strategy and situational play
- Opposites vs. Repeats
- Strong Side and disparity
- V87, 4D and other BeatTheCasino approaches
- Shoe analysis and pattern recognition
- Money management and knowing when not to bet
- Blackjack strategy and card counting
- Player experiences from casinos around the world
- AI-assisted simulations and statistical research
- Highlights from the BeatTheCasino forum and training archive
The focus is not on promising guaranteed wins. It is on studying the game, understanding what is happening in the shoe, managing risk, and making more disciplined decisions.
For the full BeatTheCasino experience, including the private forum, Diamond training videos, downloads, historical archives and strategy discussions, visit:
https://forum.beatthecasino.com/
Gambling involves risk. No strategy or system guarantees winning results.
BeatTheCasino Podcast | Baccarat & Blackjack Strategy
Promotional NBJ Seminar with Card Counter Ed Goldstein & E. Clifton Davis in Las Vegas Oct 1993
Use Left/Right to seek, Home/End to jump to start or end. Hold shift to jump forward or backward.
Free Baccarat Help from BeatTheCasino.com
Learn Clump Style Blackjack and the First Base Strategy
https://beatthecasino.e-junkie.com/product/0021/Zero-Proximity-26amp3B-Blackjack-101-How-To-Identify-When-the-Dealer-Will-Break-and-Like-Card-Clumping
🆓 How to Become a Professional Baccarat Player
https://beatthecasino.e-junkie.com/product/0908/Introduction-to-Becoming-a-Professional-Player-Baccarat-Player
🆓 The 5D Baccarat Manual - Learn the basic relevant Statistic in A Baccarat Game
🆓 Learn the Classic Baccarat Approach Time Before. Last and Opposite Time Before last with a Free App and Opposite vs Repeat Counts
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=btc.btcclassic
Thanks for listening to our Podcast.
Random. Takes about 25 shuffles. Well let's say that he's wrong and the computer scientists are right. Let's say that it takes seven shuffles to make a deck of cards random. Well, if it takes seven shuffles to make one deck of carrots random, how many shuffles would it take to make six decks of cards random? It's seven times seven times seven times seven times seven. You would die of old age before the dealer ever got finished shuffling the cards to random. It cannot be done. It's not the dealer's fault. It just can't physically be done. There's no way to do it. The cards, this is going to clump the cards. That's why they pick up the brake cards first. There is no other reason. I challenge any executive from any casino to give me any other reason that they pick the break cards up first. Now, let me tell you a good reason not to. You're playing in the game, all of a sudden you wake up and say, hey, wait a minute, wait a minute. I had 17, you had 17, it's a push, and you took my money. What can the dealer do? Starting with her own cards, she can deal them right back out, out of the discard shoe. She deals her own cards in the third base player's cards, gets down to you and says, oh, geez, you did have 17, calls a pit boss over. I goofed up here, I gotta pay this guy his money back, go ahead and pay him back. There's a way to check unless, unless somebody breaks. Once somebody breaks, the cards are not picked up in order. There's no way to check. There's no way to check. Now it's just an argument. You know, and either you win or she wins. Alright? So there's every reason to pick up the cards in order. But they don't, do they? They pick the brake cards up first. There is one reason, and one reason only to pick the brake cards up. Is to sort the cards, to make them non-random, is to do just what their mathematicians told them to do. You've got to figure out a way to make the cards non-random. This is the best way to do it. Just pick the brake cards up first, because they're mostly small cars. Pick up all the rest of the cards and last. That's how they do it. That's how they do it. Now, you might say. He says, I'm going to tell you something. He says, I was trying to prove that you were wrong. And he says, I accidentally proved that you're right. So he said, it was so easy. I'm going to show you how I did it. He says, you can show this to your people. He took eight decks of cards. He's an Atlantic City player. They got eight decks up there. He took eight decks of cards right out of the box. And he shuffled them and shuffled them and shuffled them and shuffled them and shuffled them. And before he did that, he took all the tens, tens, jacks, queens of kings, all the ten value cards out, and took a magic marker, and he painted the outside edge of the card black. So when he put the shoe together, he could see where all the tens were. And when he shuffled them a zillion times, the tens came out evenly distributed through the shoe. All of these black lines represent tens. We have the actual photographs, but you can't see them from that far away. That's how it came out. Then he played one shoe just the way they play it in casino. Picked the cards up the same way. And he took a photograph. When we got all done, he put the cards together, shuffled them just the way they shuffle them in a casino, took a photograph. Now the tens aren't evenly distributed. Well, to make a long story short, after 12 shoes, and the reason it was 12 is because I tell you in this book, it takes about 12 shoes for the casino to clump the cards. Recognize those they are they start out clumped, don't they? Because they come out of the box clumps, don't they? You ever see them in the box in the box card order, Ace, King, Queen, Jack? Blah, blah, blah, blah. Some of the casinos here don't even wash the cards. They just start shuffling and start playing them. You're able to get 15 tens in a row. You know. Seven douce of hearts in a row, you know? Alright. This is what it looked like after 12 shoes. Two-thirds of the tens were in one-third of the shoe. Two-thirds of the tens were in one-third of the shoe. Okay? You can try this at home. You'll come up with the same exact result. Okay. So what? Dealers playing with the same cards you are. How can this possibly favor the dealer? I'll show you how it favors the dealer. Remember what I told you? All you had to do is figure out a way to change the dealer break ratio. Now y'all know that they did that because you know that the dealer doesn't break 28% of the paying. You know that the dealer doesn't break one card out of three and a half hands, or one time out of one hand out of three out of every three and a half. Alright. Card clumping. Card clumping means that roughly a third of the shoes, it turns out it's really more than a third of the shoe, will be predominantly low cards. Roughly a third of the shoe will be predominantly high cards. And if you're lucky, roughly a third of the shoe will be random. The casinos design their shuffle to keep the supposedly third of the shoe that's random to the smallest possible portion of the shoe. Why? Well, because basic strategy works in that third of the shoe. Basic strategy is designed for random cards. It'll work in that third of the shoe. It just won't work in the other two-thirds of the shoe. Okay? The other two-thirds of the shoe, you're going to get killed playing basic strategy. Alright, why? Here's the way a card counter, and you guys that are card counters can voucher this. Most card counters arrange the 13 cards in a deck of cards this way. Two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten, ten, ten, ten, eight. Now I'll teach you how to card count. Get your money for it there. Won't do you any good, but I'll teach you how to card count. They just take the low cards, they count them plus one. They take the high cards, they count them minus one, okay? And the neutral cards, which they think are neutral, seven, eight, and nine, they count as zero. Since there's just as many minus cards as there are plus cards, at the end of a deck of cards, their count would always come out to zero. So whenever their count is plus, they know that there's excess tens in the rest of the cards to be dealt. If there's excess tens in the rest of the cards, they have an advantage. We agree with that. We agree with that. It's just that six decks of cards, they don't know where the heck those tens are. They have no idea where those tens are. We don't arrange the cards that way. Because it's not practical. Cards don't fall that way. They fall this way. Here's what I call low cards. Ace, two, three, four, five, six. Here's what I call neutral. Seven, eight. Here's what I call high. Nines, tens, and aces. I tell you that you got two aces up there. Why do I have two aces up there? Aces can be played what? High or low? So some of the aces are gonna follow the low cards, some of the aces are gonna follow the high cards, so I put some of them with a high, and some of them with a low. Nines are not neutral. You guys count cards. Nines are not neutral. Nines are high. Nine is the second highest card. The ether is, except when you count an ace, is eleven. If you had eleven double down and got a nine, would you give it back? It's it's a high card. Nines run with tens. Why do nines run with tens? Well, cards run whatever way they were placed. The shuffle's not going to break them up. I can guarantee you, if you get a nine and a ten, it's gonna go into the discard shoe intact. There's a nine and a ten. You're not gonna hit it, you're not gonna split it, you're not gonna double it, you're not gonna do anything with it. You're just gonna sit there and hopefully win the money. If you get two tens, you're not gonna do anything. They go in the discard rack together. If you get a nine and an eight, it goes in the discard rack together. All of these cards, when they're played, they stay together. They go in the discard rack and they come out of the dealer's shoe together. That's why you have cards that are predominantly, sections of the shoe that are predominantly high cards. It's the way they were played. And you have sections of the shoe that are predominantly low cards. The dealer, in order for basic strategy to work, must break one out of three and a half hands. A third of the shoe is going to be predominantly low cards. Actually, it's more than a third, but a third of the shoe. Now you tell me. In a low card clump, how can the dealer break? If she deals her hand out of a low card clump, what hand could she deal herself where she'd break?
unknown16 and a six.
SPEAKER_02Sixteen and a six. Very good. It is the only one. The only way she can break at a low-car clump is to be unlucky enough. And how many of you know any unlucky dealers? Is to deal herself a 16, you know, maybe four or fours or something, and didn't deal herself a six. She'll break with twenty-two. The only way she can break an N-third of the shoe in a clean, low carb pump. Now, created, particularly here in Las Vegas, the pumping isn't clean. Alright. There might, there they'll be, there's usually some high cards mixed in with the lows, and there's usually some low cars mixed in with a high. Up in Atlantic City, they're clean. They're clean. You can go four four rounds and never even see a ten up in Atlantic City. Here they're dirty. That doesn't make that much difference. The dealer is certainly not going to break one out of three and a half hands in the low card clump portion of the shoe. One third of the shoe. Alright. It's worse. One third of the shoe predominantly high card. How's the dealer gonna break? What carry shape did she get where she would break? There is one line. Anybody see it? She could deal herself two aces and then two tens. And you see that hand every time you play, don't you? The only way you can break. In other words, you're not gonna break in a high card club. You're not gonna break in a low card clump. The only place the dealer is gonna break is where the cards are mixed. When you play this game, the only thing you got going for you is dealer breaking. The dealer breaks a lot less than she used to. You've gotta know where and when she's gonna break. You gotta know to win this game. That's how you win this game. Is knowing when the dealer's gonna break and knowing when she's not gonna break. What are you gonna do if you know the dealer's not gonna break? I know. You're gonna you're going ahead, aren't you? Alright. Let me show you something that's wrong. Totally wrong with basic strategy. In a low card clump, what's a dealer going to get for a low card? Hey, could you just bring me a glass of water? I brought one up here, but I can't find it. I lost it. What's a dealer gonna get for an up card in a low card clump? A low card, obviously. Five or six, let's say. What are you gonna get? You're gonna get a stiff, aren't you? Look at the low cards. You always get a stiff and a low card clump. There isn't you could get an eight six, you get a soft seventeen. Other than that, you're gonna get a stiff hand. You always do. That's just mathematics. You can't avoid a stiff and low card clump. So you got a stiff, the dealer's got a low card up. What's your basic strategy book tell you to do? Stand, doesn't it? It says stand. Bet the dealer will break. This is what you're betting. When you stand on less than 17, what are you betting? It's all you're betting. You're betting the dealer's gonna break. Ray where it's mathematically impossible for the dealer to break. I'm going to tell you that today the dealer breaks more in a 10 up than she does on a 5 or a 6 up. She's got a 5 or a 6 up, it's probably in the low-card portion of the shoe. It's not going to break. Not going to break. Every basic strategy book tells you, stand, bet that the dealer will break. Right where it's mathematically impossible for the dealer to break. Now, you get to the portion of the shoe where she can break in a high car clump. Now she can break. Okay? The dealer gets caught with a six-up and a high card clump, she's gonna break. She's gonna break. But you're sitting there with 15, what's your book tell you to do? You're sitting there with 15 against a uh uh uh six up. I'm sorry. You're sitting there with 15 against a ten. What does your book tell you to do? Right in the portion of the shoe where the dealer is most likely to break, your book tells you to hit. In the portion of the show where she's least likely to break, your book tells you to stand. Now you understand how you get to play the 20% on. You understand how you're giving the house 20% on. Your book is telling you to play backwards. And why not? Why not? These guys work for the casino. They're not working for the player. We work for the player, they're working for the casinos. These guys have written these books. Arnold Schneider. Arnold Schneider's book, uh, the player magazine. He writes for player magazine. Who's that? That guy up in New Jersey who writes a book. Player magazine. Number one casino magazine. Find it on every casino bed in the city, player magazine. They're not gonna tell you how to play cards. The casinos are their number one customer. They're not gonna print articles that I write. The casinos are their number one customers. You're being taken for a sucker. We'll teach you how to play this game and we'll teach you how to play it right. This game is easier to win today than it ever was before. It's easier to win today than it ever was before. Those are not idle words. I'll prove it to you. I'll prove it to you. Think about the rules of the game. I'm going to tell you that every rule in the game favors the player. After all, you can you have freedom of choice. You can play your cards any way you want. The dealer can't. She has to play her cards a certain way every time. You have freedom of choice. That's your number one advantage in a game. And by the way, as soon as you play your cards by some chart and some $10 book, you just gave up your freedom of choice. You are now playing your cards the way he wants you to play for your cards, who doesn't play this game ever. How many of you guys ever saw these guys play in a casino? When's the last time you saw Arnold Snyder playing in a casino? When's the last time you saw Julian Braun playing in a casino? When's the last time you saw Stanford Wong playing in a casino? These are your heroes. These guys don't play casinos. I play casinos. I play with my players all the time. All my players that are in here have played with me. They watch me play. I'm for the player. I'm the only blackjack instructor in the United States that'll go out and play right with you. You can watch me play. I'll play right with you. I'll tell you what you're doing wrong. I'll show you how to do it. Did it all day yesterday, did it all day today. Somebody said Jerry?
unknownJerry?
SPEAKER_02Jerry Patterson? Yeah. Play cards?
unknownYeah, yeah.
SPEAKER_02You saw Jerry Patterson playing cards in a real casino? Jerry Patterson's a good friend of mine, huh? I've only played cards with him once in my life. I've asked him to go a thousand times, but I've only played with him once. First thing he did is set a 13 against a two. For all the room the whole table. I never wanted to play with him again. I says, Jerry, you're a great writer. Stay away from this card game. Alright. The cards are clums. Jerry write Jerry Patterson, by the way, sell them BJ now. Yeah. Okay. Yeah. He's a good guy. I don't mean to say anything. Wait, the scrubs is part of the game. Alright. Let's just talk about card counting for for a second. You guys count cards. Still. It used to work. Single deck game. Here's how card counting works. Single deck game, we know that if there's extra tens in the cards to be dealt. See, most car counters think that when there's extra tens, they think they're gonna get good anyway. Well, yeah, they do the way you count the cars. The reason you count the cars is to figure out where the dealer is going to break. Because the tens are just as good in her hand as they are in your hand. Okay? That's all you're looking for is where is the dealer going to break? So let's say they deal the first round account of plus three. Alright? They deal the second round and counts to plus six. So the card counter knows there's ten extra, there's six extra cards in the last round. So he says, okay, I'm gonna increase my bet. Because the dealer has a better chance of breaking there. And he's right. She does have a better chance of breaking there. Okay? So it works in a single bet game. So what did the casino do? What was the first thing they did to stop the card count? They don't deal to the end. They don't deal to the end. They put in the cutoff cards. They go fix him. We just won't deal those cards. So now, all they can do is he can he can bet on this round right here. That's about it. They took the sting out of car counting for casinos in a single back game. They just don't deal the advantage. Okay? What happens if the count was high in the first round? Well, carry counter missed it. He missed it. Because he don't bet high in the first round, because he didn't know the count was going to be high in the first round, so he didn't bet high. Alright? But because it's only one or two, because it's only two or three rounds, it worked. It works a little bit, you know, not like it used to because of the cutoff character, but it worked a little bit. If you want to do it, go ahead. You know, if you win, they're they're just gonna shuffle up there, and yeah. So you can't win a lot of money, but if you know, if you want to win some nickel deck, uh card counting and single deck black deck, be my guess. Be my guest. But you can't certainly make a living off of it anymore. Okay. Now let's take a six-deck game. Let's take the best six-deck game the card counter's seen all year. First round counts plus five. Second round counts plus eight. Card counters starting to get a little excited. Alright, might even think about raising spec. Third round plus eleven. Card counters go up to raise the fat. Go up to raise the best. Keeps going up plus 13, plus 16, plus 20. It gets up to plus 30. Count gets up to plus 30. Card counters go wacko. They do strange things like they get their mortgage out. They do all kinds of weird stuff. They go totally nuts when the card when the count goes over 30. Alright, don't bet anything on that. Alright, let's say it goes all the way to 36. What does that 36 mean? It means that there's 36 tens in the rest of the card. Now, where do you think they're more likely to be? Here? Or here? And if they are all here, what hand are you gonna get? You're gonna push with 20. Okay? Now what was the car counter trying to do in reality? If he really understood what he's trying to do, what he's trying to do is bet high when the tens are falling. He's trying to bet low when the tens are deficient. He started raising fat right about here. Boom, but a boom, but a boom. It's raised and raised and raised and raised and raised. He just bet all his money in tens deficiency. What does this 36 mean? It means there's 36 tens missing from those cards. He just bet all his money where the tens are missing, where they're deficient. Card counters bat backwards. They bat backwards in a multiple deck game. Where you want to bat is when the tens are falling. When the tens are falling. You have to know when the tens are falling. You gotta know before the round, when you bet, right then and there, before that round, that's when you make your bat. Are tens gonna fall in this round or aren't they? We'll teach you how to know which rounds tens are gonna fall in and which rounds they aren't.
SPEAKER_00That's how to bet this game.
SPEAKER_02You gotta know where the tens are gonna fall. The car counter doesn't have any idea where the tens are going to fall. He just knows that. There's extra tens out there somewhere. He doesn't have any idea. He can raise his bet, he can raise his bet, tens don't fall for four more rounds. He has no way of knowing. We know when the tens are going to fall. We do the same thing the card counter does, but we do it a heck of a lot more accurately than the card counter did. I did it all day yesterday. I did it all day today. Six for six, six casinos starting out, six ones this morning. This, I'm not going to say it's easy, but it's actually a lot easier than card counting. I mean, you should be a card counter. I'll show you a guy with aspirin in his pocket. This is a terrible thing to put yourself through. This is an awful thing to put yourself through. And it absolutely doesn't work in a multiple decade. You're looking at the best card counter there is in the in in this game. The fastest card counter there is. And I can tell you, if it works, I teach it. I don't teach it because it doesn't work. It doesn't work. I'll challenge any card counter to play me. Glass Barno, any of those guys. They don't play me. I challenge them out. They don't go near me. You ask them to go, shit, tell them to go at the field, show, show you this 1%. Put up the money. Say you're $300. Show me how you can play and win 1%. Take it to a Wanna City on a Saturday. I'll show you a guy that's gonna go home crying. Alright. It just doesn't work. It just doesn't work. But these guys are in the business of teaching card counting. That's how they make their money. So they continue to teach it. They can't all of a sudden reverse in the middle of the stream now and say, well, teach card counting really doesn't work. We've been lying to you for the last 15 years.
unknownNo, they can't do that.
SPEAKER_02They're back into a corner, they gotta sit there, and they gotta still say, and it'll work. But you won't see those days out in the chino playing playing carrying. You might see them out in the plan my way, but you won't see them out in the spino plan their way. It don't work. It don't work. Look at it if card counting works. You can teach a baboon how to card count. Card counting is simple. Alright? If card counting works, the piano works gone broke a long time ago. If basic strategy hit a 1% advantage, everybody plays basic strategy. They make sure you play basic strategy. If you don't play basic strategy, what do the other players say? Hey, well the hell are you doing that? I got a bet up there, man. Play your cards right. They make you play basic strategy. If it worked, the casinos wouldn't be making 20%. They'd be pro. It doesn't work. It doesn't work. Alright. If cards aren't random, what are they? What's the opposite of random? Predictable. Everything in the world is one of two things. It's either random or it's predictable. We teach you how to use the predictability of the cards to play your hands. A newspaper ad, I told you I would teach you how to know what the dealer's hold card is. We know what the dealer's hold card is fully absurd at the time. When you know the dealer's whole card, it's game over. You know what to do. If you know the dealer's whole card, you don't need any chart to tell you what to do. You know what to do. Alright. Gotta Gale Blackjack going. Dealer. The last four cards running into the dealer's whole card, the last four cards. In other words, the third base player's second card are tens. The first base player hits and gets a ten. What's the dealer got in the hole? A ten, absolutely. You can take it to the base. He's got a ten in the hole. You've got to play your cards accordingly. Unless you're in a zipper. High low, high low, high low. Very good. Zippers are very, very predictable. I had one today and played it. Played it today. Absolutely knew that I was going to get the 10 on the first card. When you get a 10 on your first card, you all of a sudden have a 70% chance of winning the game. I knew I was going to get the 10. I bet $200. I got the 10. I got a good scare with it. Won the hand. The hand that we were laughing about last night. What's the channel was that? Barber Coast was it? Barbary Barby Coast. I'm walking down the aisle playing a hand a hand-held game.
unknownI happened to catch a third-bass player.
SPEAKER_02He's playing hand to head. I happened to catch his card, got the dealer's cards, immediately stopped and put out a $200, or put out a $100 bat, a $100 bat. We were we were a table laugh. At a $2 table. And tell him what happened, man.
unknownTell him what happened. Well we we were kind of kidding around here by that time actually we almost every table we brought into. So we were one of the biggest.
SPEAKER_02Oh we can beat every panel we want, didn't we?
unknownWe were on the way back, right? But now it wanted much more, you know.
SPEAKER_02Yeah, we got a nine and two. And uh by all education, of course, we know exactly that it'd be dumb down, but we started playing a little game there and calling over and together. And you started telling me, you know, I'm not sure what to do with this. Because I'm just kind of learning.
SPEAKER_01Uh what am I doing? So we got this, I think you already kind of put it down, and then it's dumb down.
SPEAKER_02And he said, okay, we'll do that. So we put it down. Of course, very first hand, we can't double down. Now we've got $200 out there, and then we had $200 on this. And uh he kind of looked at it like he was a beginner and said, Oh, okay. Fine, right? Kind of fix it up and then we can spend that. Then we left all the way back to the hotel. Oh, yeah, second at all. Let me give you an idea of how we get to play the theme. What kind of statistics you can see, versus what we call conventional blackjack or basic characters. First off, 92% of our players are bottom line winners. After expenses, one thing once they gave the opportunity to learn in the J, 92% of our players are bottom line winners after expenses. We have their hotel bills, we have their plan stairs, after meals, and so forth. That's way to count your money. After expenses. Hands-on ratio. We win 52% of the hands that we played on. Some of our better players do better. Every player wins 52%. Some of our guys are up to 57, 58. We may have two players in 60% category. This is one of the easiest things to learn how to do. I'm going to tell you, you're going to win a whole lot of blackjack games if you want to shift 2% of the hands. And if you're winning 40% of them, we can teach you how to do this rather quickly. Alright. Double down. I'm going to tell you, I'm not going to go the other way, I'll ask you, but I want you to be very honest with yourself. What percentage of the double downs did you make me win? 58%. Did you tell them? Or did you read that in the book somewhere? No, I verified it. Huh? I verified it at 58%. How did you verify it? By playing over 100,000 hands on a computer and scaling it up. Oh, you did it with a computer, okay. I got a point in sets too. You know, we do the work all time. Well, I'm going to tell you something that the game is in a casino, the game is kind of a computer, it's two totally different things. You don't have to use anything in tonight with each other. Nothing intangled whatsoever. Now, let's get let's get to the real world. What percentage of your go down if you win? Who do you think you win? About 50-50. About 50-50. If you're playing well. If you're playing well. Now, if you went and counted 100,000 casino hands double down, here you're gonna get about 50-50. Atlantic City, you're not gonna get 50-50. They don't even win 50% in Atlantic City. Minnesota, they don't win 50%. Bahamas, they don't win 50%. Who do they? The house or the players? The players. In other words, people tend to lose money on double downs. Now the one thing I'll agree with flag books, double downs, the team is made or less in your double downs. You win or lose in the double downs. You've got to know how to win your double downs. Look at you gotta win 75% of your double downs, and I can have you winning 75% of your double downs by the day after tomorrow. It's one of the easiest parts to learn how to win 75% of your double downs. But I'm going to tell you that most of the many of the double downs that you make are absolutely foolish double downs.
unknownMany of the double downs in your $10 book are absolutely foolish double downs.
SPEAKER_02Um in short, what's your boy tell you to do about this, right? I'd like to tell you if we win $3,000 all the same.
SPEAKER_01If we win 67% of our 6%, we think a lot of things. A lot of things. What's the 6 payoff? 2 to 1.
unknownThank you. 2 to 1.
SPEAKER_022 to 1 payoff. If you multiply a 2 to 1 payoff times 67%, it comes out to a it comes out to 100% advantage at insurance bets. For every dollar you bet, you're gonna make a dollar. That's a 100% advantage. If you look at the overall advantage that that gives you in the game, when you win when you're winning 67% of your insurance bets, it gives you a 2% advantage in the game. A 2% advantage. Kenny Houston won $16 million in this city with a 1% advantage. We can give you a 2% advantage on insurance all by itself. Just insurance. Just learn how to insure. I can teach you how to do that by the day after tomorrow. Split! There's nobody in this room that is not an MBJ player that wins money on splits. I can guarantee it. You lose money on splits. Every book is wrong about splits. When you split a pair of eights, what are you hoping to get? 18. What's the dealer's average 10?
unknown19.2.
SPEAKER_02How are you gonna beat a 19.2 with an 18? It's real hard. It's real hard. Splitting eights against a 10 is one of the dumbest plays there are. Splitting 8's when loads are running is one of the dumbest plays there is. Splitting aces when loads are running is one of the dumbest plays there is. When you split aces, how many cards do you get? One. What if it's a deuce? You now have a four. Three? Oh, a three. I'm sorry. A three. Alright. Never split aces and lows are running. You know, because if you don't split them, you get as many draws as you want. You can't break. How are you gonna break in a draw in a pair of aces? Alright? You can't even break in the next draw. Yeah, we can't have your first draw. And you you most likely you can't in your second draw either, unless you know, unless that happens. Alright. So those are just a couple of hands of how we play this game. We win about 60% of our splits. And we don't have a split quite as often, but we win about 60% of them. Player advantage. We play a lot closer to a plus 10% than your minus 20%. Not in every game. But we have one method of play called the first base system that I played all day yesterday, the first base system. I can teach you how to play first base in 20 minutes. In 20 minutes. In fact, we're gonna have a little after seminar that's gonna last 20 minutes. Tonight, right after this seminar, I'm gonna teach you how to play first base. It's one of the most effective ways to play cards. Very, very simple. It's very, very simple. But we'll teach it to all the people that joined our MBJ Club tonight. And we'll make sure that you know you'll be able to go out and play first base later tonight if you wanted to. Although I don't I don't think that Friday night is the best time to play cards in this city. We're gonna teach it three things. Table selection. When to play, where to play, walk and seal us to play. Alright? You've gotta know what game to play. It's a third of this game. Number two, you've got to know how to play your cards. We'll teach you how to play your cards. Number three, you gotta know how to bet. There's not a single book written on betting. Half of this book, the second half of this book is on betting. Betting is a tricky business. You've got to know how to bet.
SPEAKER_00Alright. Practice!
SPEAKER_02It's a heck of a lot cheaper to learn this at a kitchen table than it is to learn it in a casino. You want to practice at a casino. We'll teach you we'll teach you video how to practice. Teach you how to practice at home. So you can make all of these bogies. I didn't want you to play this in a casino. So you can make all of these bogies. Because when you go to the casino, I want you to win. I want you to win. Alright. How much can you win? Let's just go over this real, real briefly. We get all levels of players. We got everything from the two dollar players to the professional players. When I go out and play third base $25 blackjack, I'm looking to do I'm looking to win $1,000 an hour. Uh we have won as much as $2,000 in an hour playing $25 ships. $18,000 in a single game. That happened right here at the uh the new one, the uh brunch. Thank you. $15,000 in each of two games in a row. Dr. Harvey, you have his phone number in your literature. $50,000 in a single trip. Now that's a professional player. Okay, he's playing IC. $50,000 in a 10-day trip in Atlantic City. $41 winning trips in a row. That's an amateur player. When I got a hold of him, he didn't know any more about this game than you do. He did that in his first year. 41 winning trips in a row. And then he had a small losing trip. It's Martin Pete's up in Minnesota. You have his phone number. 20 table ones in a row. I did that. The first six of them are right here, playing first base. The last 14, we're in Atlantic City. $15,000, starting with $50. Dr. John Terramino, when I met him, he was still a medical student. He says, I got $50. What can you teach me? I says, geez, you know, I'm good, but I'm not God. I said, alright, I'm gonna teach you what we call the no-risk system. I'll teach it to you later tonight. You have a small bankroll. We'll teach you how to make the ball today at bankroll. He now has a $15,000 bankroll. You have his phone number. You solit it is Dr. Townsend and your sheet because he doesn't like people to use his real name. What's a word? Well, I wasn't in this town for half an hour, and it already won more money than I'm gonna charge for our materials. Anybody that wants to join us. Most I will say most an awful lot of people, an awful lot of people tell me and tell me you were right. I won that much money back and more the first time that I went out, or the first day that I went out. Does any of my NBJ players that are here have that experience that won that much on their first house? It's easy to win this kind of money. How much does it cost? Alright, here's a package we're gonna offer you. You gotta have the manual. The Bible of blackjack is number one. You gotta have that. Number two, you gotta be current. I write a supplement to the manual every three months. We give you the first five supplements to the manual with this package. If you want to subscribe, we call it the MBJ Newsletter. If you want to subscribe, after that, we charge $95 a year. Most everybody subscribes to the MBJ newsletter. But you have to be kept current. You've got to keep your knowledge turn to win at this game. We'll throw in five supplements. Normal price, $120, $95 a year for four, $120 for five. We'll throw that in. Home practice video. My son and I made this video in my kitchen. You know, it's no general at Santa production, but it tells you what it needs to tell you. How to practice. If you practice wrong, if you don't set your game up at home like it is in the casino, your practice is going to hurt you more than it's going to help you. We sell that tape for $49.95. We'll throw in in the package. Advanced Vegas seminar tapes. This is a seminar. We're doing one this weekend, by the way, right here, an advanced seminar. Right here. We do them in Vegas a couple times a year. This is one that I did a couple years ago here in Vegas. We boiled the tapes down to six hours. People like to listen to these in their car stereos, especially on the way to a casino. These tapes are very, very good and very, very helpful. You can hear the questions that people ask and what the answers are. Most of the people that are at that seminar are very good players, so they ask very intelligent players. Half of the seminar was about card play. Half of that was about betting. The advantage, the first, the first base uh seminar, we're going to teach in a few minutes. We've taught it in Atlantic City for $2.95. That's our normal price for that seminar. We teach it all the time at that price. A lot of these guys probably you I think you were at the first base seminar, weren't you, in Atlantic City? You there? It was $295 anyway. And a discount in any NBJ seminar, like the one we're having this this uh this weekend right here. We have them all the time. We have them all over the United States. We'll throw in a hundred dollar discount at any NBJ seminar that you might want to go to. And we get together, we see seminars, we go out afterwards, like that, we have good things. We have that off $1,130. $445. That's our package. Now, if you find that it's over your head, just totally over your head, and I'm gonna tell you that an average person can do this. We have people in their 90s playing MBJ and winning. Well, is it just totally over your head? I'll give you your money back. We don't want to take advantage of anybody. I'll just give you your money back. Uh one other thing, we got friends that we we play a lot of team stuff. And we'll teach you team stuff. Team stuff is very, very powerful. Parkinson's play is very, very powerful. We went over a bunch of us, 30 of us went over to the Bahamas last winter and played team play over there. We won 18 out of 27 games that we played over there. We killed them over there at Team Play. Bahamas. You guys don't know how often you had it with your carries here. You've been to the Bahamas. It's like the worst carriage in the world over there. That's why I picked the Bahamas for the team play exercise. That's our deal. $445. We take cash, we take checks, we take Mass American, we take CISA, we take American Express. Anything you have. Uh, one other thing I'll I'll offer you, if you have friends who would like to join the MBJ Club, if you sponsor them into the MBJ Club, you'll get a $50 check back from us. Some people never do it. Other people make a little part-time business out of it. I'll tell you this. You'll be glad to see you did it. These guys here are here out of their own, of course. Most of them are going to the seminar tomorrow. They're down here in town anyway, from all over the place. We got people from McDonald's, we got people from Canada here. We got people from everywhere that are here for this seminar. Um we're a very social group. We like we like to see you get together with your neighbor MBJ players and practice so you can give each other tips and practice together. We do that kind of thing in our seminars. We have these kinds of events all year long. We're very organized. We even have, you know, a uh toilet division where you like a 9D with a chip for a lot of whole prices, all your friends.